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The winnability factor

presidential candidatesI snoop around in beauty salons or even taxi cabs. Who are you voting? I get curious on their choices. At the salon of the Makati commercial center, my hairdresser whispered “Villar is the most favored candidate here followed by Gibo.” That surprised me because Villar is not ranking in surveys of Metro Manila especially in Class AB. The makeup artist and the hairdresser speak in low tones careful not to offend other customers within hearing distance.   They discuss Noynoy Aquino’s dismal track record as a senator, and  that he is not charming. Though not surprising, the opinion of my hairdresser is quite common. She is rooting for Gibo. “I like Gibo but he is not winning.  I will waste my vote if I choose Gibo. But if I had to choose between Villar and Aquino, I'd rather choose Villar.”

I hear it from friends too. “Dick Gordon is in my short list but maybe I won’t vote for him because he is too low in the survey results. I don’t want to waste my vote.”

Whenever I hear these comments, I then ask “so now it is choosing between Villar and Aquino?”

"Yes, it is choosing between Villar and Aquino," they shrug.

The sad reality is, the winnability factor in selecting a candidate to vote for a president wins.

Winnability is favored over character, track record, and vision. Now would you mind people telling you that you are wasting your vote on Nick Perlas, Dick Gordon or Gibo Teodoro? Let’s see what these candidates have to say:

Dick Gordon is peeved on questions of winnability. Chito San Agustin, general manager of Biotech Philippines, Inc., believed Gordon is appreciated by “people like us who are educated,” which he said excluded “the masa” whom he described as “80 percent” of the voting population. This annoyed Gordon to which he said:

How sure are you that I’m not gonna win? Let me ask you. At this point in time (in 2004) when I was running for the Senate, I was No. 29 in the surveys. And I got to No. 5 in the end with limited resources, with no Iglesia Ni Cristo, with none of the other things and I won, all right? Okay? I have never lost an election,” Gordon exclaimed.

Gibo Teodoro sees himself as not yet winning but certainly "winnable." He said what the Philippines needs right now is “a little bit of political understanding.”

“And we can’t have that if some people are stonewalled against others. I think that’s the most important thing that I can do. [Provide] some basis for an achievable working arrangement even between disparate political forces,”

Nick Perlas laments the same thing.

"Nowhere is this more evident than in their concept of 'winnability.' To win in 2010 means, for them, to have, from the beginning, name recognition, political machinery, financial and other resources, and endorsements."

Nick explains there are four fatal flaws in the traditional concept of “winnability.”

  • First, the old is mistaken for the new and prevents the new from emerging.
  • Second, and stemming from the first, it encourages negative thinking.
  • Third, it is not complete and suppresses other more essential elements of the new politics from fully unfolding their power.
  • And fourth, the traditional concept of “winnability” becomes static and therefore dangerous. It is blind to the reality that “winnability” is fluid and dynamic.

I believe that if we continue to view “winnability” in this traditional manner, then the political reform movement would be its own worst enemy, severely limiting and even preventing truly new politics from emerging.  Leadership in general is all about political programs and character, integrity and credibility. It is certainly beyond winnability.

So, who is to declare if a candidate is winnable or not?  Pulse Asia? Social Weather Survey? Media?

Or you?

 

Photo by author. Some Rights Reserved.



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Disclaimer: Comments posted here reflect our readers’ views and not the opinion of The Philippine Online Chronicles.

Meikah Delid 03 March 10, 11:55 PM
To answer your question: Me! I determine the winnability of a candidate :)

I never voted because a candidate is popular. I always went for track record and candidate whom I believe can make a difference in this country. Unfortunately, all the candidates I voted for didn't win. Still, what's important is I cast my vote, and let my voice heard.

Good post, Noemi!

n_dado 04 March 10, 10:12 AM
wonderful Meikah. As I mentioned in my other articles, be worthy of your right to vote.
Chino F 04 March 10, 01:25 PM
From my Facebook comment: Joining the winnable bandwagon is like giving away your brain, letting others think for you. You're like a slave, just joining whoever wins. Second, your vote on the winnable candidate is actually useless... he's gonna win anyway! So why does he need your vote? >:)

Hey Meikah, remember me from Asiaherald? :P
turandot 04 March 10, 04:01 PM
nice article
Arnel Endrinal 13 March 10, 08:14 AM
Choosing based on winnability would embarrassingly show how easily manipulated our electorates are.

Sad to say, educated, even well-respected people (eltie), are promoting this idea in the hope people vote their candidate. These people are practically saying everyone in the country is stupid and must follow their wise choice - no need to think.

Indeed, these elite are not giving our country a good name. In fact it is because of them (and not because of the "stupid" masa) that we have a mess of a country.
Lucas Marcelo 17 April 10, 12:06 PM
Naaawa ako sa mga tao na pipili ng kandidato na ang basehan ay kung sino ang "winnable". HINDI PO SUGAL ANG ELEKSIYON, na parang pupusta ka sa llamado. Dapat pbumoto ka ayon sa iyong konsensya at nang sa ganun eh MERON KA PANG MATIRANG DANGAL SA IYONG SARILI.. at kung ganito ang ating panuntunan e baka malay mo manalo nga ating kandidato.
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