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Why PAGASA should not be blamed for Basyang

basyangYear in and year out, the perennial problem of weather forecasting is to be blamed for billions of pesos' worth of damage and disruption due to typhoons. That does not account for the lives lost or ruined by calamities. The inability of PAGASA to execute its function is a known problem, and has been since President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo's first term. It was also a well-known problem post-Ondoy.

The government seeks to plug inefficiencies, and seeks to raise revenue collection. There comes a point where simply buying into things that in the long run would save money rather than simply patching holes in the problem ultimately saves money. While the Aquino administration is in a position to do this, could it? More importantly, should it?

Another question is this. How disciplined would Aquino's administration be as it keeps its eye on the ball--- fight corruption and at the same time fighting a war on multiple fronts where one such front is the issue of climate change. Remember there is a virtual rogues gallery of issues that need to be addressed in concert.

Climate change is an issue, despite the Philippines not having much of a carbon footprint. Understandably, it is the more industrialized nations who do, and our nation, by virtue of its location finds itself facing it. Remember too that the country faces something like 19 storms per year.

It is also understandable to blame on the previous regime. The issue is well known. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to figure it out. While it is most certain that the nation is taking a beating because of Arroyo's lack of foresight and generously, her in ability to solve the Philippine puzzle, what is the point of putting Arroyo to blame? Now it is also simply pointless to place blame. These are the cards we are dealt with. Why shouldn't we simply take what is given and do what we must?

While the issue is ripe in people's minds, and they will most certainly blame Aquino for it, and while it is quite understandable to simply rally to this issue and make it front and center. There is much that the nation needs to "fix," and Aquino is hard pressed to do it. It is understandable.

The systemic corruption in government, the billions of pesos worth of deficit and a government that can not sustain economic growth because weighed down by debt and poor revenue collection, can not afford to invest.

Here we will see the Aquino government put to test. How disciplined would it be to keep its eye on the ball, in spite the clamoring of its critics to deviate, to be sidetracked? How much can it do to modernized civil defense as part of its broad strategy, and how can it meet all these little demands, which to be blunt, aren't themselves unreasonable. Then there are issues of education. Health care. peace processes.

Discipline. Triage.

Would discipline and triage be the price of leadership? So it becomes a harder task. The answer would be to see the plan unfold during Aquino's first state of the nation address. We have seen him able to convince a nation by his example how he plans to set society's compass right.

How then does Aquino convince the nation this is the road we are taking. This is the battle we must fight, and some of your demands will most certainly not be met. How then to instill discipline in the ranks? How then to instill discipline in themselves not to deviate too much from the plan? How then to keep laser focused at the end goal and would the administration perform triage?

How then does Aquino's government transform that campaign discipline and expertise into governance?

Without doubt, Aquino can set an example and with his wang-wang, is a shot across the bow that there is a new sherif in town. Basyang is a wakeup call not just to Aquino's government but we the people. There is much to do, and while government can not fix all our problems, perhaps in each of us, we can find solutions to keep on working through the storm; that we ourselves be part of a community that rises up in these times of crisis. Perhaps, to open our WiFi to keep the lines of communication going; to roll out generators to charge phones and to help sweep the streets.

Yes, PAGASA is incapable of forecasting and after years of knowing the problem, we can no longer blame them for it, but the lack of our leaders' foresight to beef up civil defense in an age where it is quite obvious that it is part of a broader national agenda. Let us all accept that they can't do the job because they neigther have the proper tools and total expertise. Yet to stop there is counterproductive and what simply remains is to take what is given, and do what we must. How then does the broader picture of Civil Defense and Disaster Management fit into the Aquino Agenda? As a people, how then do we fit our lives around the absolute fact that our country is typhoon country? In a nutshell, for both government and people: less complaining, more adapting.

___

Image via Weather Underground



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ever 15 July 10, 02:56 PM
less complaining, more adapting...

wala ng sisihan..may kakulangan talaga..
paghandaan ang bawat araw.
myepinoy 16 July 10, 12:09 AM
I believe PAG-ASA deserved it. Why? Because most of the time, the one-man weather center in Naga City manned by one guy named Michael V. Padua often get the forecast right. That is why most folks in Naga trust him more than PAG-ASA.

It's a shame considering that they are paid to do things right and they do it the wrong way always (it seemed). Why a single guy David Michael V. Padua is getting it right and PAG-ASA a big organization, getting it wrong is one HELL of a STORM of question that does not need any technical forecasting.

Michael v Padua is the owner of typhoon2000.com and maybagyo.com
ernest 10 August 10, 04:03 PM
What people dont understand is that it is easier to monitor the weather of a particular place. what pagasa does is to monitor thewhole archipelago so it really hard to do it. moreover, typhoon tracking is only a small part of weather forecasting. see wiki for more quick info about weather forecasting.

i wonder whether mr. padua also issues forecasts for the rest of the country.

also, from what i understand, typhoon2000.ph only presents 2nd or 3rd hand information. mostly from other weather agencies, which includes PAGASA itself.

finally, what's important thing here, i think, is for us citizens to be more supportive to our PAGASA because when they fail, we also fail.
nick tingog 16 July 10, 09:13 AM
The responsibility to mitigate the damage of storms and typhoons remain with the national and local governments. One of the major reasons why Pilipinas drownings are high is because there are too many slums, too many substandard housing, and because the national and local governments have not created enough shelters that can shield the evacuees from strong winds and floods.

As it was GMA administration's fault last year and the years prior, then it is Noynoy administration's responsibility this typhoon season, for next year and the years that follow. Ganoon lang iyon. The buck stops at Malacanang.
BenK 17 July 10, 01:51 PM
Sorry, PAGASA should be blamed:

http://badmannersgunclub.com/2010/07/another-unusual-storm/

The president's doing so in the public manner in which he criticized them was not productive, either, but he did have a point.
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